Sports bets can be very profitable if an individual know the strategies typically the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great case in point. My partner and i analyzed typically the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Va had typically the edge in the video game. However , We also recognized that there initially were a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Las vegas or Louisville
This game provides all the signals of being one of the best games involving the year, having both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from being down huge in the final quarter to winning within overtime.
So what’s the adventure seem like this year?
If this video game were being played on some sort of natural field, West Va would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, often the additional benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like very much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point can make the difference between the push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home games.
And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since January 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game in your house, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points every game with home. In case you did not do the mathematics, that means considering his or her last home damage they already have averaged beating his or her oppositions by way of about thirty four items per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by 13 things per sport at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s the way…
The majority of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. ufabet168 , 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have acquired recent games that has they already have only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
The end result is of which this is still a good close match to phone. But the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this specific game and not necessarily wager at all. There will be better video games this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big that they can could still win right after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of game, people critical regarding wagering saved money they will can put to better work with on approaching games.
